Update and Commentary
The ominous history of the time period around April 19-20 - Bill Koenig
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Note from Bill:
The following is from the "Koenig's Eye View from the White House" April 5th news report.
There has been one serious news story after another in the past few days. First, it was the beginning of Secretary of State John Kerry's push for Israeli-Palestinian talks; then the North Korean nuclear threat; a collapse of gold's value; the Boston Marathon bombings; heightened security in Washington, DC; letters sent to President Obama and Senator Roger Wicker (R-MS) tested positive for ricin; the very heated gun debate on Capitol Hill and at the White House; Iran triples installations of centrifuges at Natanz and a major explosion at a fertilizer plant in West, Texas two days before the 20th anniversary of the Waco/Branch Davidian raid by FBI/ATF of April 19, 1993.
The West's explosion size was due to a large amount of ammonium nitrate in storage – the highly explosive chemical compound used in the Murrah (Federal) Building bombing in Oklahoma City which occurred on April 19, 1995.
President George W. Bush was working with Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia on a plan for a future Palestinian state 17 days prior to the 9-11-2001 terror events. This current "period of disruption" in the United States seems very similar to that time period.
John Kerry has decided that he wants to use the 2002 Saudi Peace Initiative rather than the Quartet Road Map as the foundation for talks between the Israelis and the Palestinians.
I will have more specifics on the similarities in this Friday's weekly news report.
Extensive list of major events that have happened on or around April 19-20: World wars, American wars, Israeli wars, births of Hitler and Mohammed, and many others …
Previously, Eric Hadik (http://www.insiidetrack.com) shared with us the significance of the month of April and the incredible amount of events that have happened in that month. These are events that have impacted the United States, Israel and the Jewish people.
Major wars began in the U.S. in this time frame. Major domestic terror events occurred on April 19 numerous times. Mohammed and Hitler were born on the same day — April 20. There have also been major news items about Iran in April from 2006 to 2012.
I have added the dates and other material to Eric's work to further emphasize this incredible information. This information will help us better watch what is coming the rest of this year and into 2014 with so many significant cycles converging.
The natural year
The sun governs our seasons, which are measured by the solstices and equinoxes. By many accounts, the Natural Year begins with the vernal equinox on March 20/21. This has been true in agrarian (agriculture/ farming-based) societies for thousands of years. It has been true in civilizations that worshipped the Sun (and established their calendars accordingly).
As such, it starts the clock on the 'opening range' of each Natural Year. Let me explain …
If one were to begin a calendar on the vernal equinox (start of Spring), the first month of that year would end on April 19/20. It is when the northern half of the earth transitions from seasonal 'death' to 'life.' In the old days, it was also when 'kings went off to war.' (See the biblical account of when David chose not to go off.)
Anyone that suffers from Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) could certainly attest to the psychological aspects of longer days and more sunlight when the shroud of depression lifts and the rays of hope come flooding back into their lives.
But, let's apply this to the markets …
From a trading standpoint, the action in that first 30 days would represent a type of 'opening range' that would influence the trading of the rest of the Natural Year. This is similar to how I treat the first week — and month — of the calendar year, the first three trading days of each month and the first day of the week.
Once that opening range (first 30 days) is complete, you have resistance and support for the entire period — both when the market is trading in that range AND once it has broken out of it.
You also have an important gauge of trend for that year (if the market is trading above that range, it is in an uptrend on an intra-year basis, etc.).
Emphasis on the natural year was more significant in W.D. Gann's time since the commodity futures markets were almost all agricultural.
Mid-April was the time when 'carry-over crop stocks' were at their lowest and when planting conditions and expectations for the new 'year' — or growing season — were becoming apparent.
But, it is not just trading that is impacted …
This period — from March 20/21 to April 19/20 — marks a very important transition period,linked to various means of measuring time with physical (natural), celestial (astronomy), metaphysical (astrology) and supernatural (Jewish and Christian commemorations) implications.
April 19/20 acts like a deadline for determining what to expect in the coming (natural) year. It is a time to watch each year for signs of 'change.'
Date of infamy for America — April 19 and the days around it
This 'natural year opening range' has diverse — and seemingly contradictory — implications. As just explained, it is a time when much of nature comes back to life.
Paradoxically, it is when man often incites war (and the end of many lives). Nowhere has this remained more constant than in the histories of America and Israel.
I have explained this concept many times before, but it is also the single most requested compilation of analysis from readers. So, I will briefly recap it for the sake of context …
In short, I have termed the date of April 19 (sometimes extending to the days surrounding it) as the 'date of infamy' for America.
The following are just a few of the events that have occurred on this date and have impacted/governed America's destiny … beginning with our independence (and incorporating almost every major, decisive war in our history) …
Start of Revolutionary War — April 19, 1775
Battle of San Jacinto/end of Texas Revolution — April 19-21, 1836
Start of Mexican-American War — April 25, 1846
Start of Civil War — April 12, 1861
Start of Spanish-American War — April 26, 1898
Franklin D. Roosevelt announces U.S. will leave gold standard — April 19, 1933
Bay of Pigs invasion failure — April 17-19, 1961
End of Vietnam War — April 30, 1975
Operation Praying Mantis was on April 18, 1988. Attack by U.S. naval forces in retaliation for the Iranian mining of the Persian Gulf and the subsequent damage to an American warship. This battle was the largest of the five major U.S. surface engagements since the Second World War.
The April 19/20 date has pinpointed many events of great 'civil unrest' and/or domestic terrorism in the U.S. They include:
ATF raid on Covenant of the Sword and the Arm of the Lord (CSA) — April 19-21, 1985 (linked to the Oklahoma City bombing a decade later)
Explosion on the USS Iowa (speculated to be an act of sabotage/suicide, but never proven) — April 19, 1989
Waco/Branch Davidian raid by FBI/ATF — April 19, 1993
Oklahoma City Bombing — April 19, 1995
Columbine High School massacre — April 20, 1999
Anti-Jewish riots break out in Palestine — April 19, 1936
U.S.S.R. performs nuclear test at Semipalitinsk, Eastern Kazakhstan, U.S.S.R. — April 19, 1985
Benedict XVI, Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, becomes the 265th pope — April 19, 2005
The historical date of infamy for Israel and her enemies – April 20/21
This date has also had a dramatic impact on Israel and Jews. In the last 2,000 years, Jews have had many enemies and many antagonists; but three, in particular, stand out:
Birth of Rome/Roman Empire
What do they have in common? They were all born on April 20/21.
The birth of Rome (by Romulus) is dated as April 21, 753 B.C.
The birth of Mohammad is dated as April 20, 571 A.D.
The birth of Adolph Hitler was April 20, 1889
Israel faced the Great Arab Revolt of April 19, 1936
The Warsaw Ghetto Uprising began April 19, 1943
The ascension of Gamal Abdel Nasser in Egypt on April 18, 1954. Nasser was Israel's lead antagonist for almost two decades. He was responsible for three wars with Israel from 1956–1970. He was also responsible for the first United Arab Republic — in 1958–1961, a concept that could reach a more cohesive realization in the coming years.
To say the least, this has been a very significant period of time for centuries.
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